Put/Call Ratio
The ratio of put option volume to call option volume, used as a sentiment indicator — high ratios signal bearish hedging and fear, while low ratios signal complacency or bullish speculation.
The macro regime is unambiguously STAGFLATION DEEPENING. The three-pillar structure remains intact and strengthening: (1) Energy-driven inflation shock — WTI at $104-111, +40% in 1M, flowing through PPI (+0.7% 3M, accelerating) into a CPI/PCE pipeline that has not yet absorbed the full pass-through,…
What Is the Put/Call Ratio?
The put/call ratio divides the volume of put options (bets on price declines) by the volume of call options (bets on price rises) traded in a given period. The CBOE publishes total, equity-only, and index-only versions daily.
Put/Call ratio = Put volume / Call volume
A ratio above 1.0 means more puts than calls are being traded; below 1.0 means more calls than puts.
How to Interpret It
The put/call ratio is primarily a contrarian sentiment indicator:
- High ratio (>1.2): Elevated bearishness, heavy hedging activity — often near market bottoms as fear peaks. Historically bullish for equities on a 1–3 month horizon.
- Low ratio (<0.6): Elevated bullishness, speculative call buying — often near market tops or when complacency is high. Historically a caution signal.
- Equity-only PCR: Excludes index puts (often used for institutional hedging), giving a purer read on retail/speculative sentiment
The Contrarian Logic
When everyone has bought puts and positioned defensively, much of the selling has already been absorbed. Conversely, when call buying is rampant and few hedges are in place, the market is vulnerable to negative surprises.
Limitations
The put/call ratio can give false signals during unusual market regimes:
- Zero-day-to-expiration (0DTE) options have dramatically increased call volume, structurally compressing the PCR
- Large institutional hedging programmes can distort the index PCR
- During strong trends, extreme readings can persist longer than expected
PCR in This Analysis
The sentiment tracking system monitors the CBOE total put/call ratio as one component of the crowd psychology composite score, inverting it so that high put/call → low sentiment score (fear) and low put/call → high sentiment score (greed).
Atlas ingests the CBOE equity put/call ratio as part of the daily sentiment pipeline and uses it in the contrarian indicator engine.
View on dashboard →Put/Call Ratio is one of the signals monitored daily in the AI-driven macro analysis on Convex Trading. The platform synthesises data across monetary policy, credit, sentiment, and on-chain metrics to generate actionable trade recommendations. Create a free account to build your own signal layer and see how Put/Call Ratio is influencing current positions.