CONVEX
Glossary/Equity Markets/Insider Trading
Equity Markets
2 min readUpdated Apr 16, 2026

Insider Trading

insider dealingMNPI trading

Insider trading is the illegal practice of buying or selling securities based on material non-public information, or the legal practice of corporate insiders trading their own company stock with proper disclosure.

Current Macro RegimeSTAGFLATIONSTABLE

We are in a STABLE STAGFLATION regime — growth decelerating (GDPNow 1.3%) while inflation remains sticky and potentially re-accelerating (Cleveland nowcasts alarming). The Fed is trapped at 3.75%, unable to cut or hike without making one problem worse. Net liquidity expansion ($5.95trn, +$151bn 1M) …

Analysis from Apr 19, 2026

What Is Insider Trading?

Insider trading encompasses both legal and illegal activity. Legal insider trading occurs when corporate officers, directors, or significant shareholders buy or sell their own company's stock and properly report it to the SEC. Illegal insider trading occurs when anyone trades securities based on material, non-public information (MNPI), which is information that would significantly impact the stock price if publicly known.

The distinction hinges on whether the trader possessed and used MNPI. An executive selling shares through a pre-arranged 10b5-1 plan is legal. The same executive selling shares after learning about a failed drug trial before the announcement is illegal.

Why Insider Trading Data Matters

Legal insider transaction data is one of the most valuable, yet underused, signals available to investors. Corporate insiders have the deepest understanding of their company's prospects. When they voluntarily risk their own capital, it carries significant informational content.

The most predictive patterns include:

  • Cluster buying: Three or more insiders buying within the same month is among the strongest bullish signals in equity markets
  • CEO/CFO open-market purchases: The most informed insiders buying voluntarily (not through equity grants) signals confidence
  • Buying after declines: Insiders purchasing during stock price weakness suggests the market has overreacted
  • Selling intensity: While individual insider sales are noisy, a sudden spike in selling by multiple insiders can precede negative developments

How to Use Insider Data in Trading

Monitor Form 4 filings for your watchlist stocks. Focus on open-market purchases (not option exercises or grant-related transactions). Filter for transaction sizes that are material relative to the insider's net worth, a $50,000 purchase by a billionaire CEO is meaningless, but a $500,000 purchase by a division president earning $300,000 annually is highly significant.

Combine insider buying signals with other factors: if a stock has insider cluster buying, trades at a low valuation, and shows improving fundamentals, the confluence of bullish signals significantly increases the probability of outperformance.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is all insider trading illegal?
No. Corporate insiders (officers, directors, and 10%+ shareholders) legally buy and sell their own company's stock regularly. Legal insider trading requires proper disclosure through SEC filings (Form 4, filed within 2 business days of the transaction). Many insiders also use pre-planned 10b5-1 trading plans to make scheduled trades regardless of material information. Illegal insider trading occurs when someone trades based on material, non-public information (MNPI), such as an employee buying stock before an unannounced acquisition, or a friend of an executive selling before a negative earnings revision.
How do investors track legal insider trading?
All legal insider transactions are publicly disclosed through SEC Form 4 filings, available on the SEC's EDGAR database. Numerous financial data providers aggregate this data, including InsiderMonitoring.com, OpenInsider, and SEC.gov. The most valuable signals are **cluster buys** (multiple insiders buying within a short period), large purchases by the CEO or CFO, and buys from insiders with strong historical track records. Research shows that stocks with significant insider buying outperform the market by 3-7% annualized. Insider selling is a weaker signal because insiders sell for many non-informational reasons.
What are the penalties for illegal insider trading?
Illegal insider trading carries severe penalties. Individuals face up to 20 years in prison and fines up to $5 million per violation under the Securities Exchange Act. Companies can be fined up to $25 million. The SEC can also pursue civil penalties of up to three times the profits gained or losses avoided. The SEC and DOJ have increasingly used sophisticated surveillance, including data analytics and communication monitoring, to detect insider trading. High-profile cases include Raj Rajaratnam (11 years in prison), SAC Capital (record $1.8B fine), and Martha Stewart (5 months in prison).

Insider Trading is one of the signals monitored daily in the AI-driven macro analysis on Convex Trading. The platform synthesises data across monetary policy, credit, sentiment, and on-chain metrics to generate actionable trade recommendations. Create a free account to build your own signal layer and see how Insider Trading is influencing current positions.

ShareXRedditLinkedInHN

Macro briefings in your inbox

Daily analysis that explains which glossary signals are firing and why.