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Glossary/Technical Analysis/Pennant Pattern
Technical Analysis
2 min readUpdated Apr 16, 2026

Pennant Pattern

pennantbull pennantbear pennant

A pennant is a continuation chart pattern formed by converging trendlines following a sharp price move, resembling a small symmetrical triangle that typically resolves with a breakout in the direction of the preceding trend.

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The macro regime is STAGFLATION STABLE — growth decelerating (GDPNow 1.3%, consumer sentiment 56.6, housing deeply contractionary) while inflation is sticky-to-rising (Cleveland Fed CPI Nowcast 5.28%, PCE Nowcast 4.58%, GSCPI elevated). The bear steepening yield curve (30Y +10bp, 10Y +7bp 1M) with r…

Analysis from Apr 18, 2026

What Is a Pennant Pattern?

A pennant is a short-term continuation pattern that forms after a strong, steep price move. It resembles a small symmetrical triangle, with converging trendlines that create a triangular shape following the initial impulse (flagpole). The pattern indicates a brief consolidation period where the market catches its breath before the trend resumes.

The pennant is closely related to the flag pattern. While flags consolidate in parallel channels, pennants consolidate in converging trendlines. Both share the same underlying dynamics: a strong impulse, a brief pause with declining volume, and a continuation breakout.

How to Trade the Pennant

The breakout from the pennant is the entry signal. For bull pennants, enter when price breaks above the upper converging trendline. For bear pennants, enter on a break below the lower trendline. Volume confirmation is essential: the breakout candle should show a significant increase in volume compared to the declining volume within the pennant.

The stop loss goes on the opposite side of the pennant. For bull pennants, this is below the lower trendline or the lowest point of the pennant. The measured move target equals the length of the flagpole projected from the breakout point, identical to the flag pattern methodology.

Pre-breakout positioning is an advanced technique where traders enter within the pennant when they are confident in the direction. The advantage is a tighter stop loss and better entry price. The risk is that the pennant breaks in the unexpected direction, which occurs roughly 30-40% of the time.

Pennant vs. Triangle

The key distinction between a pennant and a symmetrical triangle is duration and context. Pennants form quickly (one to three weeks) after a clear impulse move. Symmetrical triangles develop over longer periods and may not follow a distinct impulse. This difference in context affects the expected breakout: pennants have a stronger directional bias because the preceding momentum provides the energy for continuation.

If a pattern that initially looks like a pennant extends beyond three to four weeks, reclassify it as a symmetrical triangle and adjust expectations accordingly. The longer the consolidation, the less powerful the eventual breakout tends to be relative to the flagpole.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do you identify a pennant pattern?
A pennant has three elements: a flagpole (a sharp, steep price move on high volume), the pennant body (a small symmetrical triangle formed by converging trendlines with declining volume), and a breakout (price breaking out of the pennant in the same direction as the flagpole on increasing volume). The pennant body is typically very short, lasting one to three weeks on a daily chart. The converging trendlines should each have at least two touch points. Volume should noticeably decline during the pennant formation and then surge on the breakout.
What is the success rate of pennant patterns?
Pennant patterns have a relatively high success rate among continuation patterns, estimated at 60-70% when properly identified with volume confirmation. Bull pennants in strong uptrends tend to be more reliable than bear pennants in downtrends. The success rate improves when the flagpole is on very high volume, the pennant shows clearly declining volume, the breakout occurs with a significant volume increase, and the pattern forms within a well-established trend. Pennants that take too long to form (more than three to four weeks) or form without a clear flagpole are less reliable.
How long should a pennant take to form?
Pennants are short-duration patterns, typically forming over one to three weeks on a daily chart. This brief consolidation period is part of what distinguishes a pennant from a symmetrical triangle, which develops over a longer timeframe. If the converging trendlines extend beyond three to four weeks, the pattern may be better classified as a symmetrical triangle and traded accordingly. On intraday charts, pennants can form over just a few hours. The key characteristic is that the pennant represents a brief pause in a strong momentum move, not an extended consolidation.

Pennant Pattern is one of the signals monitored daily in the AI-driven macro analysis on Convex Trading. The platform synthesises data across monetary policy, credit, sentiment, and on-chain metrics to generate actionable trade recommendations. Create a free account to build your own signal layer and see how Pennant Pattern is influencing current positions.

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