Recession Indicatorsmonthly
Leading Index for US
Conference Board Leading Economic Index — composite of 10 leading indicators.
1.72
1W +0.00%1M +0.00%3M +0.00%
Updated 14m agoNo data available
Recent Data
| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1.72 | +9.55% |
| Jan 1, 2020 | 1.57 | +6.08% |
| Dec 1, 2019 | 1.48 | +7.25% |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 1.38 | -2.13% |
| Oct 1, 2019 | 1.41 | -6.00% |
| Sep 1, 2019 | 1.5 | +13.64% |
| Aug 1, 2019 | 1.32 | +1.54% |
| Jul 1, 2019 | 1.3 | +17.12% |
| Jun 1, 2019 | 1.11 | -19.57% |
| May 1, 2019 | 1.38 | — |
Related in Recession Indicators
Sahm Rule Recession Indicator
Sahm Rule: 3-month average unemployment rise from 12-month low. Crossing 0.5% has signaled every recession since 1970.
OECD Composite Leading Indicator
OECD CLI for the US — designed to anticipate turning points in the business cycle.
Convex Recession Probability
Convex Recession Probability Index — composite of yield curve, Sahm Rule, claims momentum, credit spreads & leading indicators. 0-100 scale.
Mfg New Orders (Nondefense ex Air)
Manufacturers' new orders excluding defense and aircraft — core capex proxy.
Data sourced from FRED, CoinGecko, CBOE, CFTC, and EIA. Updated monthly. This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.