Recession Indicatorsmonthly
OECD Composite Leading Indicator
OECD CLI for the US — designed to anticipate turning points in the business cycle.
99.85
1W +0.00%1M +0.00%3M +0.00%
Updated 4m agoNo data available
Recent Data
| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2024 | 99.85 | +0.14% |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 99.72 | +0.11% |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 99.61 | +0.07% |
| Oct 1, 2023 | 99.53 | +0.05% |
| Sep 1, 2023 | 99.48 | +0.06% |
| Aug 1, 2023 | 99.42 | +0.09% |
| Jul 1, 2023 | 99.34 | +0.11% |
| Jun 1, 2023 | 99.23 | +0.12% |
| May 1, 2023 | 99.11 | +0.09% |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 99.02 | — |
Related in Recession Indicators
Sahm Rule Recession Indicator
Sahm Rule: 3-month average unemployment rise from 12-month low. Crossing 0.5% has signaled every recession since 1970.
Leading Index for US
Conference Board Leading Economic Index — composite of 10 leading indicators.
Convex Recession Probability
Convex Recession Probability Index — composite of yield curve, Sahm Rule, claims momentum, credit spreads & leading indicators. 0-100 scale.
Mfg New Orders (Nondefense ex Air)
Manufacturers' new orders excluding defense and aircraft — core capex proxy.
Data sourced from FRED, CoinGecko, CBOE, CFTC, and EIA. Updated monthly. This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.