CONVEX

Economic Activity

GDP, ISM PMI, retail sales, industrial production, and leading indicators. Gauge the real economy with the broadest set of activity measures.

Economic activity indicators reveal whether the economy is expanding or contracting in real time. ISM PMI readings above 50 signal expansion, while GDP growth tells the definitive story each quarter. Leading indicators like the Conference Board LEI can flag downturns months in advance, giving traders a head start on positioning.

Data as of · 20 metrics with live data

Nominal GDP

quarterly
$32B

US gross domestic product in current dollars.

Real GDP

quarterly
$24B

Inflation-adjusted GDP, the definitive measure of economic output.

Industrial Production

monthly
102.50

Industrial production index, measures factory, mining, and utility output.

Capacity Utilization

monthly
76.12%

Industrial capacity utilization rate, high readings signal inflationary bottlenecks.

Retail Sales (ex Food Svc)

monthly
656,115

Advance retail sales excluding food services, consumer spending momentum.

Durable Goods Orders

monthly
318,909

New orders for manufactured durable goods, proxy for business investment intentions.

Consumer Sentiment (Michigan)

monthly
53.30

University of Michigan consumer sentiment index, how consumers feel about the economy.

Auto Sales (SAAR)

monthly
16.7

Total vehicle sales at seasonally adjusted annual rate.

Inventories-to-Sales Ratio

monthly
1.32

Business inventories relative to sales, rising ratio signals slowing demand.

Real Disposable Income

monthly
$18B

Inflation-adjusted disposable personal income.

Personal Saving Rate

monthly
3.60%

Personal saving as a percentage of disposable income, buffer for future spending.

Real Personal Consumption

monthly
$17B

Inflation-adjusted consumer spending, ~70% of US GDP.

Total Consumer Credit

monthly
$5141B

Total outstanding consumer credit, auto loans, student loans, credit cards.

C&I Loans (All Banks)

monthly
$3B

Commercial and industrial loans, business borrowing appetite.

Revolving Consumer Credit

monthly
$1337B

Outstanding revolving credit (mainly credit cards).

Non-Revolving Consumer Credit

monthly
$3804B

Non-revolving credit (auto loans, student loans, personal loans).

Corporate Profits After Tax

quarterly
$4B

Aggregate corporate profits after tax, key equity valuation input.

Mfg Unfilled Orders-to-Shipments

monthly
670,894

Manufacturing unfilled orders relative to shipments, a leading indicator of industrial bottlenecks and backlog pressure.

Manufacturers' New Orders (Total)

monthly
630,448

Total new orders received by US manufacturers, a leading gauge of industrial activity that feeds into Chicago Fed and Conference Board LEI composites.

Empire State Manufacturing Index

monthly
19.60

NY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Survey general business conditions diffusion index, one of the earliest monthly regional PMIs.

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Data sourced from FRED, CoinGecko, CBOE, CFTC, and EIA. Updated at varying frequencies. This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.