Citation Guide
How to cite Convex data, charts, and indices
Convex data is free to cite, embed, and redistribute with attribution. This page provides ready-to-paste citation strings for academic papers, news articles, blog posts, and chart captions.
The four-part citation rule
- Source: "Convex" or "Convex Research" (preferred for academic style).
- Series identifier: the stable ID shown on every metric page (e.g.,
CONVEX_CRPIorDGS10). - Canonical URL:
convextrade.com/metrics/{id}or the specific tool URL when citing a dashboard. - Retrieval date: include when the series is time-varying and you want the citation to be reproducible.
Citation examples
APA 7
Academic paper, working paper, thesis
Convex Research. (2026). Convex Recession Probability Index (CVRP) [Data set]. Convex Macro Data Platform. https://convextrade.com/metrics/convex_crpi
Chicago (author-date)
Economics papers, Federal Reserve working paper style
Convex Research. 2026. "Convex Recession Probability Index." Convex Macro Data Platform. https://convextrade.com/metrics/convex_crpi.
MLA 9
Journalism style guide, some policy writing
Convex Research. "Convex Recession Probability Index." Convex Macro Data Platform, 2026, convextrade.com/metrics/convex_crpi.
Inline / News
Newspaper article, web story, blog post
"Data: Convex (convextrade.com/tools/recession-probability)"
Chart caption
Static chart image with attribution in caption or corner
"Source: Convex. Back-computed from FRED. convextrade.com"
Convex proprietary indices
When citing a Convex-computed composite (rather than a passthrough FRED series), include a brief methodological note so readers know how the number was computed.
Convex Recession Probability Index
CVRP5-component composite of yield curve, Sahm Rule, credit spreads, initial claims, and leading indicators. 0-100 scale.
Convex Net Liquidity Index
CNLIFed balance sheet minus Treasury General Account minus Reverse Repo. Weekly resolution.
Convex Risk Appetite Index
CRAIComposite of VIX, credit spreads, and cross-asset correlations. 0-100, higher = more risk-on.
Convex Narrative Velocity Index
NVIShift rate of dominant market narrative vs baseline. Higher = regime change in progress.
Embedding live charts
Every tool page has an Embed button that generates an iframe snippet. Embedded charts include automatic attribution back to the source page, refresh independently of your site, and work on any web platform.
Recession Probability dashboard →
Best for: Recession, macro outlook, and business-cycle articles
Yield Curve Monitor →
Best for: Fed policy, bond market, and inversion coverage
Fed Rate Path Simulator →
Best for: FOMC previews, rate path scenarios
Global Financial Conditions →
Best for: Cross-asset stress, liquidity, and credit stories
Oil Shock Monitor →
Best for: Energy price, geopolitical risk, and inflation pipeline
Carry Trade Risk →
Best for: FX, BoJ policy, and risk-off coverage
Example article boilerplate
Ready-to-paste into a news article that uses live Convex data:
The Convex Recession Probability Index, a composite that combines the yield curve, Sahm Rule, credit spreads, jobless claims, and the Conference Board's Leading Economic Index, stood at XX on May 1, 2026. Source: Convex Research, convextrade.com/tools/recession-probability
License
- Convex-computed data (composite indices, proprietary series, back-computed history) is released under CC BY 4.0.
- Raw source data is used under the primary provider's license. FRED, BLS, Treasury, EIA data are in the US public domain.
- Commercial use is permitted with attribution. Contact for bulk commercial licensing.
Related
Get notified when new datasets or citation formats become available.