Quick Answer
As of July 18, 2026, Convex Narrative Velocity Index is 83.6. Source: FRED series CONVEX_NVI via Convex.
Cite this: https://convextrade.com/metrics/convex_nvi#answer · Data: CSV (stable URL)
Convex Narrative Velocity Index
Convex Narrative Velocity Index, measures narrative acceleration across 46 RSS news sources via term frequency velocity, sentiment divergence, and source primacy. 0-100 scale.
The Convex Narrative Velocity Index is currently 83.6, last updated . Surging (83.6/100), extreme narrative acceleration, rare macro-event signal
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Free macro alerts →Positioning data reveals what the market is actually doing, as opposed to what it says it is doing. FINRA margin debt peaked ahead of every major bear market cycle of the last 40 years, while extreme readings in the AAII bull-bear spread are classic contrarian signals. CFTC commitments of traders separates speculative from commercial flow, identifying when large specs are overextended in either direction.
Current Reading
Surging (83.6/100), extreme narrative acceleration, rare macro-event signal
AI Analysis
Jul 13, 2026Highest conviction remains BEARISH BONDS at MODERATE, and it got better this cycle: the composition is unchanged (nominal 10Y +6bp, real +14bp, breakeven -7bp over 30 days), the live 10Y at 4.569 sits 3bp below the 4.6-4.8% zone, and the breakeven-led rally that was the main threat to the view now requires oil to reverse a rally it just started.
Recent Data
Download CSV| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | 83.6 | +1.84% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 82.09 | -0.17% |
| Jul 16, 2026 | 82.23 | -0.59% |
| Jul 15, 2026 | 82.72 | +0.05% |
| Jul 14, 2026 | 82.68 | -0.18% |
| Jul 13, 2026 | 82.83 | -0.58% |
| Jul 12, 2026 | 83.31 | -0.42% |
| Jul 11, 2026 | 83.66 | -0.16% |
| Jul 10, 2026 | 83.79 | +2.76% |
| Jul 9, 2026 | 81.54 | -2.65% |
| Jul 8, 2026 | 83.76 | -5.97% |
| Jul 7, 2026 | 89.08 | +2.17% |
| Jul 6, 2026 | 87.19 | -0.89% |
| Jul 5, 2026 | 87.97 | +20.97% |
| Jul 4, 2026 | 72.72 | -0.36% |
| Jul 3, 2026 | 72.98 | -0.05% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | 73.02 | -17.41% |
| Jul 1, 2026 | 88.41 | +5.21% |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 84.03 | -0.14% |
| Jun 29, 2026 | 84.15 | +0.11% |
| Jun 28, 2026 | 84.06 | +0.04% |
| Jun 27, 2026 | 84.03 | -0.13% |
| Jun 26, 2026 | 84.14 | +0.77% |
| Jun 25, 2026 | 83.5 | — |
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Data sourced from FRED, CoinGecko, CBOE, CFTC, and EIA. Updated daily. This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.