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Atlanta Fed GDPNow

Atlanta Fed real-time nowcast of current-quarter real GDP growth, updated 6-7 times per quarter as new data releases arrive.

The Atlanta Fed GDPNow is currently 1.30%, last updated . Trend-like growth, consistent with neutral real rates

1.30%
Updated 2d ago
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The Fed balance sheet and Treasury General Account together determine the volume of reserves circulating in the banking system. Nowcasts from Atlanta, New York, and Cleveland Fed staff provide real-time estimates of GDP and inflation, often weeks ahead of official releases. These operational metrics are what actually moves rates and reserves, as opposed to the policy statements that describe intent.

Updated 2d ago

Current Reading

Trend-like growth, consistent with neutral real rates

AI Analysis

Apr 19, 2026

We are in a STABLE STAGFLATION regime — growth decelerating (GDPNow 1.3%) while inflation remains sticky and potentially re-accelerating (Cleveland nowcasts alarming).

Recent Data

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DateValueChange
Apr 9, 20261.30%—

Related in Fed Nowcasts

Cleveland Fed CPI Nowcast (MoM)
Cleveland Fed nowcast of the current-month CPI MoM change, using a dynamic factor model updated daily as price data releases arrive.
Cleveland Fed Core CPI Nowcast (MoM)
Cleveland Fed nowcast of core CPI MoM change, the inflation signal excluding food and energy that the Fed watches most closely.
Cleveland Fed PCE Nowcast (MoM)
Cleveland Fed nowcast of headline PCE inflation MoM change, the Fed's statutory target measure.
Cleveland Fed Core PCE Nowcast (MoM)
Cleveland Fed nowcast of core PCE MoM change, the single most important inflation reading for FOMC decisions.

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Frequently Asked Questions

▶What is Atlanta Fed GDPNow?
Atlanta Fed real-time nowcast of current-quarter real GDP growth, updated 6-7 times per quarter as new data releases arrive.
▶How does Atlanta Fed GDPNow relate to fed nowcasts?
Atlanta Fed GDPNow is part of the Fed Nowcasts category. The Fed balance sheet and Treasury General Account together determine the volume of reserves circulating in the banking system. Nowcasts from Atlanta, New York, and Cleveland Fed staff provide real-time estimates of GDP and inflation, often weeks ahead of official releases. These operational metrics are what actually moves rates and reserves, as opposed to the policy statements that describe intent.
▶How often is Atlanta Fed GDPNow updated?
Atlanta Fed GDPNow is updated weekly, typically on the same day each week. Each metric page on Convex shows the exact time of the last data update and provides historical data going back up to five years.
▶Where does Convex source Atlanta Fed GDPNow data?
Convex sources Atlanta Fed GDPNow data from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) API, maintained by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Data is fetched automatically and displayed alongside interactive charts, AI analysis, and historical context.
▶What can I do on the Atlanta Fed GDPNow chart page?
The Atlanta Fed GDPNow page includes an interactive chart with selectable time ranges (1 month to 5 years), percentage changes over multiple timeframes, a table of recent readings, AI-generated analysis, and links to related metrics and comparisons.
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Data sourced from FRED, CoinGecko, CBOE, CFTC, and EIA. Updated weekly. This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.