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Cleveland Fed Core PCE Nowcast (MoM)

Cleveland Fed nowcast of core PCE MoM change, the single most important inflation reading for FOMC decisions.

The Cleveland Fed Core PCE Nowcast (MoM) is currently 3.22%, last updated .

3.22%
1W -20.35%1M -20.35%3M -20.35%
Updated 2d ago
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The Fed balance sheet and Treasury General Account together determine the volume of reserves circulating in the banking system. Nowcasts from Atlanta, New York, and Cleveland Fed staff provide real-time estimates of GDP and inflation, often weeks ahead of official releases. These operational metrics are what actually moves rates and reserves, as opposed to the policy statements that describe intent.

Updated 2d ago

AI Analysis

Apr 19, 2026

Cleveland Core PCE Nowcast at 3.22% (-20% 1M — declining, which is a relief).

Recent Data

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DateValueChange
Apr 1, 20263.22%-20.35%
Jan 1, 20264.04%+68.16%
Oct 1, 20252.40%-16.75%
Jul 1, 20252.88%+30.91%
Apr 1, 20252.20%-27.53%
Jan 1, 20253.04%+20.37%
Oct 1, 20242.53%+23.33%
Jul 1, 20242.05%-18.26%
Apr 1, 20242.51%-28.01%
Jan 1, 20243.48%+64.43%
Oct 1, 20232.12%-16.02%
Jul 1, 20232.52%-37.40%
Apr 1, 20234.03%-15.06%
Jan 1, 20234.74%+19.55%
Oct 1, 20223.96%-12.43%
Jul 1, 20224.53%+5.38%
Apr 1, 20224.30%-20.64%
Jan 1, 20225.41%+11.21%
Oct 1, 20214.87%+5.66%
Jul 1, 20214.61%-28.55%
Apr 1, 20216.45%+174.43%
Jan 1, 20212.35%+116.90%
Oct 1, 20201.08%-73.36%
Jul 1, 20204.07%—

Related in Fed Nowcasts

Atlanta Fed GDPNow
Atlanta Fed real-time nowcast of current-quarter real GDP growth, updated 6-7 times per quarter as new data releases arrive.
Cleveland Fed CPI Nowcast (MoM)
Cleveland Fed nowcast of the current-month CPI MoM change, using a dynamic factor model updated daily as price data releases arrive.
Cleveland Fed Core CPI Nowcast (MoM)
Cleveland Fed nowcast of core CPI MoM change, the inflation signal excluding food and energy that the Fed watches most closely.
Cleveland Fed PCE Nowcast (MoM)
Cleveland Fed nowcast of headline PCE inflation MoM change, the Fed's statutory target measure.

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Frequently Asked Questions

▶What is Cleveland Fed Core PCE Nowcast (MoM)?
Cleveland Fed nowcast of core PCE MoM change, the single most important inflation reading for FOMC decisions.
▶How does Cleveland Fed Core PCE Nowcast (MoM) relate to fed nowcasts?
Cleveland Fed Core PCE Nowcast (MoM) is part of the Fed Nowcasts category. The Fed balance sheet and Treasury General Account together determine the volume of reserves circulating in the banking system. Nowcasts from Atlanta, New York, and Cleveland Fed staff provide real-time estimates of GDP and inflation, often weeks ahead of official releases. These operational metrics are what actually moves rates and reserves, as opposed to the policy statements that describe intent.
▶How often is Cleveland Fed Core PCE Nowcast (MoM) updated?
Cleveland Fed Core PCE Nowcast (MoM) is updated once per day after market close. Each metric page on Convex shows the exact time of the last data update and provides historical data going back up to five years.
▶Where does Convex source Cleveland Fed Core PCE Nowcast (MoM) data?
Convex sources Cleveland Fed Core PCE Nowcast (MoM) data from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) API, maintained by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Data is fetched automatically and displayed alongside interactive charts, AI analysis, and historical context.
▶What can I do on the Cleveland Fed Core PCE Nowcast (MoM) chart page?
The Cleveland Fed Core PCE Nowcast (MoM) page includes an interactive chart with selectable time ranges (1 month to 5 years), percentage changes over multiple timeframes, a table of recent readings, AI-generated analysis, and links to related metrics and comparisons.
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Data sourced from FRED, CoinGecko, CBOE, CFTC, and EIA. Updated daily. This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.