10Y Note Net Speculative Positioning

CBOT 10-Year US Treasury Note futures net speculative positioning from CFTC COT report.

10Y Note Net Speculative Positioning is part of the Sentiment & Positioning category. Positioning data reveals what the market is actually doing, as opposed to what it says it is doing. FINRA margin debt peaked ahead of every major bear market cycle of the last 40 years, while extreme readings in the AAII bull-bear spread are classic contrarian signals. CFTC commitments of traders separates speculative from commercial flow, identifying when large specs are overextended in either direction.

10Y Note Net Speculative Positioning is updated weekly, typically on the same day each week. Each metric page on Convex shows the exact time of the last data update and provides historical data going back up to five years.

Convex sources 10Y Note Net Speculative Positioning data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Commitments of Traders reports. Data is fetched automatically and displayed alongside interactive charts, AI analysis, and historical context.

The 10Y Note Net Speculative Positioning page includes an interactive chart with selectable time ranges (1 month to 5 years), percentage changes over multiple timeframes, a table of recent readings, AI-generated analysis, and links to related metrics and comparisons.