Historical Year Data · 2024
US Recession Probability (Smoothed) in 2024
US Recession Probability (Smoothed) opened 2024 at 2.82% and closed at 0.30%, a -89.36% move for the year. The high of 2.82% was reached on January 1, and the low of 0.30% on December 1.
Open
2.82%
2024-01
Close
0.30%
12 data points
High
2.82%
Jan 1
Low
0.30%
Dec 1
Full Year Change
-89.36%
2023 Change
+281.25%
Monthly Breakdown
| Month | Open | Close | High | Low | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 2.82% | 2.82% | 2.82% | 2.82% | +0.00% |
| Feb | 0.50% | 0.50% | 0.50% | 0.50% | +0.00% |
| Mar | 0.36% | 0.36% | 0.36% | 0.36% | +0.00% |
| Apr | 0.52% | 0.52% | 0.52% | 0.52% | +0.00% |
| May | 0.38% | 0.38% | 0.38% | 0.38% | +0.00% |
| Jun | 0.58% | 0.58% | 0.58% | 0.58% | +0.00% |
| Jul | 0.86% | 0.86% | 0.86% | 0.86% | +0.00% |
| Aug | 0.60% | 0.60% | 0.60% | 0.60% | +0.00% |
| Sep | 0.68% | 0.68% | 0.68% | 0.68% | +0.00% |
| Oct | 0.50% | 0.50% | 0.50% | 0.50% | +0.00% |
| Nov | 0.34% | 0.34% | 0.34% | 0.34% | +0.00% |
| Dec | 0.30% | 0.30% | 0.30% | 0.30% | +0.00% |
Events During 2024
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