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Historical Year Data · 2024

US Recession Probability (Smoothed) in 2024

US Recession Probability (Smoothed) opened 2024 at 2.82% and closed at 0.30%, a -89.36% move for the year. The high of 2.82% was reached on January 1, and the low of 0.30% on December 1.

Open
2.82%
2024-01
Close
0.30%
12 data points
High
2.82%
Jan 1
Low
0.30%
Dec 1
Full Year Change
-89.36%
2023 Change
+281.25%

Monthly Breakdown

MonthOpenCloseHighLowChange
Jan2.82%2.82%2.82%2.82%+0.00%
Feb0.50%0.50%0.50%0.50%+0.00%
Mar0.36%0.36%0.36%0.36%+0.00%
Apr0.52%0.52%0.52%0.52%+0.00%
May0.38%0.38%0.38%0.38%+0.00%
Jun0.58%0.58%0.58%0.58%+0.00%
Jul0.86%0.86%0.86%0.86%+0.00%
Aug0.60%0.60%0.60%0.60%+0.00%
Sep0.68%0.68%0.68%0.68%+0.00%
Oct0.50%0.50%0.50%0.50%+0.00%
Nov0.34%0.34%0.34%0.34%+0.00%
Dec0.30%0.30%0.30%0.30%+0.00%

Events During 2024

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