CONVEX
Historical Year Data · 2021

US Recession Probability (Smoothed) in 2021

US Recession Probability (Smoothed) opened 2021 at 0.02% and closed at 1.16%, a +5700.00% move for the year. The high of 1.56% was reached on September 1, and the low of 0.02% on January 1.

Open
0.02%
2021-01
Close
1.16%
12 data points
High
1.56%
Sep 1
Low
0.02%
Jan 1
Full Year Change
+5700.00%
2020 Change
-72.73%

Monthly Breakdown

MonthOpenCloseHighLowChange
Jan0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%+0.00%
Feb0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%+0.00%
Mar0.02%0.02%0.02%0.02%+0.00%
Apr0.28%0.28%0.28%0.28%+0.00%
May0.16%0.16%0.16%0.16%+0.00%
Jun0.12%0.12%0.12%0.12%+0.00%
Jul0.14%0.14%0.14%0.14%+0.00%
Aug1.48%1.48%1.48%1.48%+0.00%
Sep1.56%1.56%1.56%1.56%+0.00%
Oct0.16%0.16%0.16%0.16%+0.00%
Nov0.28%0.28%0.28%0.28%+0.00%
Dec1.16%1.16%1.16%1.16%+0.00%

Events During 2021

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