Historical Year Data · 2020
CVRP, Convex Recession Probability in 2020
CVRP, Convex Recession Probability opened 2020 at 24.00 and closed at 43.00, a +79.17% move for the year. The high of 81.00 was reached on May 2, and the low of 14.00 on February 15.
Open
24.00
2020-01
Close
43.00
366 data points
High
81.00
May 2
Low
14.00
Feb 15
Full Year Change
+79.17%
2019 Change
-46.81%
Monthly Breakdown
| Month | Open | Close | High | Low | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 24.00 | 30.00 | 30.00 | 19.00 | +25.00% |
| Feb | 27.00 | 33.00 | 34.00 | 14.00 | +22.22% |
| Mar | 42.00 | 55.00 | 55.00 | 36.00 | +30.95% |
| Apr | 67.00 | 66.00 | 67.00 | 65.00 | -1.49% |
| May | 66.00 | 75.00 | 81.00 | 66.00 | +13.64% |
| Jun | 74.00 | 49.00 | 74.00 | 47.00 | -33.78% |
| Jul | 48.00 | 44.00 | 48.00 | 44.00 | -8.33% |
| Aug | 44.00 | 42.00 | 45.00 | 41.00 | -4.55% |
| Sep | 42.00 | 43.00 | 44.00 | 42.00 | +2.38% |
| Oct | 43.00 | 40.00 | 43.00 | 39.00 | -6.98% |
| Nov | 40.00 | 37.00 | 40.00 | 35.00 | -7.50% |
| Dec | 36.00 | 43.00 | 44.00 | 34.00 | +19.44% |
Events During 2020
2020 COVID Crash & Recovery
Deflation
February–April 2020
The fastest 30%+ decline in S&P 500 history, followed by the fastest recovery. COVID-19 pandemic triggered unprecedented monetary and fiscal intervention.
2019 Hong Kong Protests & Capital Outflows
Mixed
June 2019 – June 2020
Hong Kong's 2019 protests over an extradition bill and Beijing's 2020 National Security Law reshaped the territory's role as Asia's financial hub. Capital outflows, reduced multinational presence, and regulatory divergence from the West had durable effects on regional finance.
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