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Economic Event · monthly

ISM Services PMI

Source: Institute for Supply Management (ISM)Release: Third business day of monthTime: 10:00 AM ET
The ISM Services PMI covers non-manufacturing sectors, which account for ~70% of US GDP. Released at 10:00 AM ET on the third business day of each month, the format mirrors the Manufacturing PMI with subindices for business activity, new orders, employment, and prices. ISM Services has become increasingly important as the US economy has become more services-oriented. The services PMI often diverges from manufacturing, services stayed robust during the 2022-2023 manufacturing slowdown, keeping the overall economy expanding. The prices subindex provides an alternative read on services inflation relevant to the Fed's supercore thinking.
Most Recent Release
March 1, 2026
ISM Services release
53.30
-5.83% vs prior

Why It Matters

ISM Services rarely falls below 50, historical average is ~55. When it does fall below 50, it signals a serious slowdown. The April 2020 reading of 41.8 marked the COVID low; the March 2023 reading of 51.2 (down from 55.1) triggered regional bank crisis concerns.

What to Watch For

  • Headline ISM Services vs 50
  • Business activity subindex
  • New orders
  • Employment
  • Prices, services inflation proxy

Market Reaction Pattern

Given services dominance, ISM Services moves matter more for overall economic read. Hot prices subindex is hawkish for bonds. Weak business activity with hot prices = stagflation signal.

Release Archive(36)

Release DateValueChange vs Prior
Mar 1, 202653.30-5.83%
Feb 1, 202656.60+0.35%
Jan 1, 202656.40+6.62%
Dec 1, 202552.90+3.73%
Nov 1, 202551.00-4.85%
Oct 1, 202553.60-2.72%
Sep 1, 202555.10-5.33%
Aug 1, 202558.20-5.67%
Jul 1, 202561.70+1.65%
Jun 1, 202560.70+16.28%
May 1, 202552.20+0.00%
Apr 1, 202552.20-8.42%
Mar 1, 202557.00-11.90%
Feb 1, 202564.70-9.76%
Jan 1, 202571.70-3.11%
Dec 1, 202474.00+3.06%
Nov 1, 202471.80+1.84%
Oct 1, 202470.50+0.57%
Sep 1, 202470.10+3.24%
Aug 1, 202467.90+2.26%
Jul 1, 202466.40-2.64%
Jun 1, 202468.20-1.30%
May 1, 202469.10-10.49%
Apr 1, 202477.20-2.77%
Mar 1, 202479.40+3.25%
Feb 1, 202476.90-2.66%
Jan 1, 202479.00+13.34%
Dec 1, 202369.70+13.70%
Nov 1, 202361.30-3.92%
Oct 1, 202363.80-5.90%
Sep 1, 202367.80-2.31%
Aug 1, 202369.40-2.94%
Jul 1, 202371.50+11.37%
Jun 1, 202364.20+8.81%
May 1, 202359.00-7.38%
Apr 1, 202363.70,

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