CONVEX
Historical Year Data · 2004

US Recession Probability (Smoothed) in 2004

US Recession Probability (Smoothed) opened 2004 at 0.24% and closed at 0.08%, a -66.67% move for the year. The high of 0.92% was reached on June 1, and the low of 0.08% on December 1.

Open
0.24%
2004-01
Close
0.08%
12 data points
High
0.92%
Jun 1
Low
0.08%
Dec 1
Full Year Change
-66.67%
2003 Change
-21.05%

Monthly Breakdown

MonthOpenCloseHighLowChange
Jan0.24%0.24%0.24%0.24%+0.00%
Feb0.14%0.14%0.14%0.14%+0.00%
Mar0.12%0.12%0.12%0.12%+0.00%
Apr0.12%0.12%0.12%0.12%+0.00%
May0.12%0.12%0.12%0.12%+0.00%
Jun0.92%0.92%0.92%0.92%+0.00%
Jul0.24%0.24%0.24%0.24%+0.00%
Aug0.18%0.18%0.18%0.18%+0.00%
Sep0.18%0.18%0.18%0.18%+0.00%
Oct0.12%0.12%0.12%0.12%+0.00%
Nov0.20%0.20%0.20%0.20%+0.00%
Dec0.08%0.08%0.08%0.08%+0.00%

Related Metrics

Get historical context as markets unfold, regime classification, scenario triggers, and analysis in your inbox.