CONVEX
Past Release · GDP

January 2024 GDP Report

Monday, January 1, 2024

GDP printed at $23B, a +0.21% move from the prior reading of $23B.

Headline Reading
Real GDP
$23B
Jan 1
Prior
$23B
Absolute
+$0B
Percent
+0.21%

What to Watch For

  • Headline real GDP annualized
  • GDP deflator / GDP price index
  • Personal consumption expenditures growth
  • Private fixed investment
  • Inventory contribution
  • Net exports
  • Revisions to prior quarter

Expected Market Reaction

Muted initial reaction since GDPNow pre-prints the number. Bigger reaction when deflator diverges from expectations. Sustained GDP weakness over multiple quarters drives cyclical sector rotation and rate cut pricing.

Related Assets Around the Release

Related Scenarios

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