Japanese Yen
17 mentions across Convex research, last mentioned
Recent Analysis Mentioning Japanese Yen
The Bank of Japan is at 1%, its highest since 1995, yet the yen sits near 162. The scenario is no longer about whether Japan normalises, but when the stretched carry snaps.
CurrencyA BOJ policy rate around 1.0% is still low by Western standards. In yen-funded portfolios, it changes the sign on the trade.
CurrencyUSD/JPY at 160.16 is not a currency position, it is a $4-6 trillion structural risk hiding in plain sight.
CurrencyUSD/JPY at 160.16 and a crowded short book mean the next shock may come from Tokyo, not Tehran.
CurrencyMetrics Affected By Japanese Yen
Scenarios Involving Japanese Yen
Extreme yen weakness forces BoJ intervention decisions. What happens to Japanese equities, global carry trades, and Asian markets?
What happens when USDJPY breaks 160? BoJ intervention risk, carry-trade unwinds (Aug 2024 took S&P -7% and QQQ -10% in days), global VIX spikes.
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