CONVEX
Historical Year Data · 2008

US Recession Probability (Smoothed) in 2008

US Recession Probability (Smoothed) opened 2008 at 22.48% and closed at 99.76%, a +343.77% move for the year. The high of 99.76% was reached on December 1, and the low of 22.48% on January 1.

Open
22.48%
2008-01
Close
99.76%
12 data points
High
99.76%
Dec 1
Low
22.48%
Jan 1
Full Year Change
+343.77%
2007 Change
+2009.09%

Monthly Breakdown

MonthOpenCloseHighLowChange
Jan22.48%22.48%22.48%22.48%+0.00%
Feb47.08%47.08%47.08%47.08%+0.00%
Mar62.52%62.52%62.52%62.52%+0.00%
Apr74.96%74.96%74.96%74.96%+0.00%
May81.78%81.78%81.78%81.78%+0.00%
Jun86.66%86.66%86.66%86.66%+0.00%
Jul94.84%94.84%94.84%94.84%+0.00%
Aug99.40%99.40%99.40%99.40%+0.00%
Sep99.74%99.74%99.74%99.74%+0.00%
Oct89.36%89.36%89.36%89.36%+0.00%
Nov99.60%99.60%99.60%99.60%+0.00%
Dec99.76%99.76%99.76%99.76%+0.00%

Events During 2008

Related Metrics

Get historical context as markets unfold, regime classification, scenario triggers, and analysis in your inbox.