Historical Year Data · 2025

1Y Expected Inflation (Cleveland) in 2025

1Y Expected Inflation (Cleveland) opened 2025 at 2.63% and closed at 3.19%, a +21.54% move for the year. The high of 3.19% was reached on December 1, and the low of 2.18% on March 1.

Open

2.63%

2025-01

3.19%

12 data points

High

3.19%

Dec 1

Low

2.18%

Mar 1

Full Year Change

+21.54%

2024 Change

+9.58%

Monthly Breakdown

Month	Open	Close	High	Low	Change
Jan	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	2.63%	+0.00%
Feb	2.73%	2.73%	2.73%	2.73%	+0.00%
Mar	2.18%	2.18%	2.18%	2.18%	+0.00%
Apr	2.89%	2.89%	2.89%	2.89%	+0.00%
May	2.69%	2.69%	2.69%	2.69%	+0.00%
Jun	2.38%	2.38%	2.38%	2.38%	+0.00%
Jul	2.79%	2.79%	2.79%	2.79%	+0.00%
Aug	2.69%	2.69%	2.69%	2.69%	+0.00%
Sep	2.80%	2.80%	2.80%	2.80%	+0.00%
Oct	2.73%	2.73%	2.73%	2.73%	+0.00%
Nov	2.70%	2.70%	2.70%	2.70%	+0.00%
Dec	3.19%	3.19%	3.19%	3.19%	+0.00%

Events During 2025

2025 US Tariff Shock

Stagflation

February – April 2025

The Trump administration imposed reciprocal tariffs averaging 25% on most trading partners in February-April 2025. Markets priced the most aggressive trade policy shift since 1930, with ripple effects across currencies, bond yields, and supply chains.

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