Cleveland Fed Core PCE Nowcast (MoM) in 2015
Cleveland Fed Core PCE Nowcast (MoM) opened 2015 at 1.00% and closed at 1.17%, a +17.18% move for the year. The high of 1.66% was reached on April 1, and the low of 1.00% on January 1.
Monthly Breakdown
| Month | Open | Close | High | Low | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | +0.00% |
| Apr | 1.66% | 1.66% | 1.66% | 1.66% | +0.00% |
| Jul | 1.37% | 1.37% | 1.37% | 1.37% | +0.00% |
| Oct | 1.17% | 1.17% | 1.17% | 1.17% | +0.00% |
Events During 2015
The PBoC devalued the yuan by 1.9% in a single day on August 11, 2015, the first meaningful devaluation since 1994. Global risk assets convulsed.
Brent crude fell from $115 in June 2014 to $27 in January 2016, a 77% collapse. Shale oversupply and OPEC's refusal to cut production broke the commodity supercycle that had dominated markets since 2003.
The Swiss National Bank abandoned its 1.20 EUR/CHF floor on January 15, 2015. The franc immediately surged 30%, blowing up retail FX brokers and exposing the fragility of exchange rate commitments.
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