CONVEX
Past Release · Retail Sales

March 2026 Retail Sales Report

Sunday, March 1, 2026

Retail Sales printed at 653,040, a +1.87% move from the prior reading of 641,038.

653,040
Mar 1
Prior
641,038
Absolute
+12,002
Percent
+1.87%

What to Watch For

  • Headline retail sales month-over-month
  • Control group month-over-month
  • Revisions to prior month
  • Category detail: online, autos, restaurants
  • Inflation-adjusted (real) retail sales

Expected Market Reaction

Strong control group: consumer discretionary up, rates up. Weak control group: defensives up, rates down, recession pricing increases.

Related Assets Around the Release

Related Scenarios

ShareXRedditLinkedInHN

Get release-day analysis and market reaction framing before consensus forms.