CONVEX
Past Release · New Home Sales

March 2025 New Home Sales Report

Saturday, March 1, 2025

New Home Sales printed at 660, a +2.80% move from the prior reading of 642.

Headline Reading
New Home Sales
660
Mar 1
Prior
642
Absolute
+18
Percent
+2.80%

What to Watch For

  • Sales pace (annualized)
  • Median and average sale price
  • Months of supply at current pace
  • Cancellation rate (builder confidence proxy)
  • Revision to prior month (often large)

Expected Market Reaction

Strong sales: homebuilders rally, lumber and copper up. Weak sales: homebuilders sell off, but sometimes rates fall (growth concern), creating a cross-current. Months of supply above 8-9 signals severe oversupply.

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