CONVEX
Past Release · Existing Home Sales

January 2024 Existing Home Sales Report

Monday, January 1, 2024

Existing Home Sales printed at 1,381, a -9.20% move from the prior reading of 1,521.

Headline Reading
Housing Starts
1,381
Jan 1
Prior
1,521
Absolute
140
Percent
-9.20%

What to Watch For

  • Sales pace (annualized, seasonally adjusted)
  • Median sale price (year-over-year)
  • Months of supply (inventory indicator)
  • First-time buyer share
  • Cash sales percentage (investor activity)

Expected Market Reaction

Falling sales + rising prices: stagflation dynamic for housing, confusing for rates. Rising sales + stable prices: normalization, homebuilders rally. Supply crossing 6 months historically marks the shift from seller to buyer market.

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