CONVEX
Past Release · Durable Goods

July 2025 Durable Goods Report

Tuesday, July 1, 2025

Durable Goods printed at 303,032, a -2.80% move from the prior reading of 311,761.

Headline Reading
Durable Goods Orders
303,032
Jul 1
Prior
311,761
Absolute
8,729
Percent
-2.80%

What to Watch For

  • Headline durable goods orders (volatile)
  • Core orders ex-defense, ex-transportation (capex signal)
  • Shipments trend (current output)
  • Unfilled orders backlog
  • Revisions to prior month

Expected Market Reaction

Strong core orders: cyclicals up, rates up (growth signal). Weak core orders: defensives outperform, rates down. Headline swings on Boeing orders are typically ignored by markets.

Related Assets Around the Release

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