CONVEX
Equity Indexdaily

Emerging Markets (EEM)

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF.

$62.24
1W +8.60%1M +9.98%3M +9.98%
Updated 0m ago
Updated just now

AI Analysis

Apr 14, 2026

The four simultaneous CFTC positioning extremes tell a story of maximum positioning confusion: specs maximally short equities (ES 98th pctile), maximally underweight gold (GC 2nd pctile), maximally short oil (WTI 6th pctile), and maximally long BTC (100th pctile). NAAIM at 2.0 is the single most extreme institutional positioning signal in the dataset — essentially every institutional manager has de-risked, creating the preconditions for a violent mean-reversion squeeze if any positive catalyst emerges. The semiconductor signal (+7.6% SMH vs SPY 20D) is puzzling in a stagflation regime and may reflect AI-capex narrative sustainability or simply mean-reversion from prior underperformance.

Recent Data

DateValueChange
Apr 14, 2026$62.24+1.92%
Apr 13, 2026$61.07+0.84%
Apr 11, 2026$60.56+0.00%
Apr 10, 2026$60.56+0.46%
Apr 9, 2026$60.28+5.18%
Apr 8, 2026$57.31-0.02%
Apr 7, 2026$57.32+0.37%
Apr 6, 2026$57.11+0.92%
Apr 5, 2026$56.59+0.00%
Apr 4, 2026$56.59

Related in Equity Index

Explore Further

Forecast 2026
Emerging Markets (EEM) Outlook
Scenario-weighted forecast using scenario weighted approach.
Comparison
S&P 500 vs Emerging Markets
US equities have dominated emerging markets for over a decade, driven by dollar strength, tech sector outperformance, an...
Comparison
Dollar Index vs Emerging Markets
A strong dollar is the single biggest headwind for emerging markets. It increases the cost of dollar-denominated debt, r...
Comparison
China (FXI) vs Emerging Markets (EEM)
China is the largest EM weight, so FXI versus EEM reveals whether China is driving EM performance or dragging it down. W...
Comparison
Emerging Markets (EEM) vs Developed ex-US (EFA)
EM versus EFA strips out US equity dominance and reveals whether capital is rotating from stable developed economies int...
Comparison
Emerging Markets (EEM) vs Russell 2000 (IWM)
EEM and IWM are both high-beta cyclicals but with different drivers. EEM responds to dollar, China, and commodity cycles...
Comparison
EM Dollar Index vs Emerging Markets (EEM)
EM currencies and EM equities typically move together because both reflect EM risk appetite and capital flows. Strong EM...
Comparison
Emerging Markets (EEM) vs VIX
EM equities are highly sensitive to global risk appetite. When VIX rises, EM typically sells off more than SPY because E...
Comparison
Equal-Weight S&P 500 (RSP) vs EM (EEM)
RSP strips out US mega-cap dominance and compares the median S&P 500 name against EM. When EEM outperforms RSP, broad EM...
Scenario
What Happens When High-Yield Spreads Blow Out?
What happens when junk bond credit spreads widen past 500 bps? Credit crises, contagion risk, and the flight to quality ...
Scenario
What Happens When the Dollar Strengthens Sharply?
What happens when the US dollar surges? Impact on emerging markets, commodities, corporate earnings, and global financia...
Scenario
What Happens When Oil Prices Spike?
What happens when oil prices spike? Inflation fears, consumer squeeze, recession risk, and the complex impact on stocks,...
Scenario
What Happens When the Dollar Crashes?
What happens to global markets when the US dollar drops sharply? Impact on commodities, emerging markets, US equities, a...
Scenario
What Happens When Copper Surges?
What happens when copper prices surge? Why "Dr. Copper" is the economy's best diagnostician, and what it means for equit...
Scenario
What Happens When Gold Hits $3,000?
What does gold at $3,000 mean for the global economy? Analysis of what drives gold to record highs and the implications ...
Scenario
What Happens When Oil Drops Below $50?
What happens when crude oil crashes below $50? Deflationary signals, energy sector carnage, consumer benefits, and geopo...
Scenario
What Happens When the Trade Deficit Widens Sharply?
What happens when the US trade deficit surges? Dollar implications, tariff risk, manufacturing impact, and what it signa...
Scenario
What Happens When China Devalues the Yuan?
What happens when China devalues its currency? Global deflation export, emerging market contagion, commodity impact, and...
Scenario
What Happens When Emerging Market Currencies Crash?
What happens when emerging market currencies collapse? Contagion risk, capital flight, commodity impact, and whether EM ...
Scenario
What Happens When DXY Hits 120?
Extreme dollar strength creates global stress. What happens when the broad dollar index hits multi-decade highs, pressur...
Scenario
What Happens When the Copper-Gold Ratio Collapses?
Copper-gold ratio collapse signals growth concerns and is often called "Dr. Copper's recession warning". What happens wh...
Scenario
What Happens When China Devalues the Yuan Sharply?
What happens when China devalues the yuan beyond 7.5? Global deflation impulse, emerging market stress, and US trade imp...
Scenario
What Happens When Oil Drops Below $30?
What happens when WTI crude oil drops below $30? Producer stress, geopolitical implications, and disinflation effects....
Scenario
What Happens When Copper Surges to All-Time Highs?
What happens when copper reaches new all-time highs? Economic signal, inflation implications, and electrification demand...
Scenario
What Happens When Semiconductors Rally Sharply?
What happens when semiconductors (SMH) sharply outperform? AI investment cycle, global economic implications, and tech l...
Scenario
What Happens When European Stocks Outperform?
What happens when European stocks sharply outperform US equities? Sector rotation, currency implications, and relative v...

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Emerging Markets (EEM)?
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF.
How often is Emerging Markets (EEM) updated?
Emerging Markets (EEM) is updated once per day after market close. Each metric page on Convex shows the exact time of the last data update and provides historical data going back up to five years.
Where does Convex source Emerging Markets (EEM) data?
Convex sources Emerging Markets (EEM) data from live market data providers including CoinGecko for crypto and major exchanges for equities and commodities. Data is fetched automatically and displayed alongside interactive charts, AI analysis, and historical context.
What can I do on the Emerging Markets (EEM) chart page?
The Emerging Markets (EEM) page includes an interactive chart with selectable time ranges (1 month to 5 years), percentage changes over multiple timeframes, a table of recent readings, AI-generated analysis, and links to related metrics and comparisons.

Get daily macro analysis covering Emerging Markets (EEM) and related indicators delivered to your inbox.

Data sourced from FRED, CoinGecko, CBOE, CFTC, and EIA. Updated daily. This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.