30Y Treasury Yield in 2015
30Y Treasury Yield opened 2015 at 2.69% and closed at 3.01%, a +11.90% move for the year. The high of 3.25% was reached on June 26, and the low of 2.25% on January 30.
Monthly Breakdown
| Month | Open | Close | High | Low | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 2.69% | 2.25% | 2.69% | 2.25% | -16.36% |
| Feb | 2.25% | 2.60% | 2.73% | 2.25% | +15.56% |
| Mar | 2.68% | 2.54% | 2.83% | 2.46% | -5.22% |
| Apr | 2.47% | 2.75% | 2.76% | 2.47% | +11.34% |
| May | 2.82% | 2.88% | 3.07% | 2.82% | +2.13% |
| Jun | 2.94% | 3.11% | 3.25% | 2.94% | +5.78% |
| Jul | 3.20% | 2.92% | 3.21% | 2.92% | -8.75% |
| Aug | 2.86% | 2.95% | 2.95% | 2.73% | +3.15% |
| Sep | 2.93% | 2.87% | 3.08% | 2.85% | -2.05% |
| Oct | 2.85% | 2.93% | 2.96% | 2.82% | +2.81% |
| Nov | 2.95% | 2.98% | 3.12% | 2.95% | +1.02% |
| Dec | 2.91% | 3.01% | 3.07% | 2.87% | +3.44% |
Events During 2015
The PBoC devalued the yuan by 1.9% in a single day on August 11, 2015, the first meaningful devaluation since 1994. Global risk assets convulsed.
Brent crude fell from $115 in June 2014 to $27 in January 2016, a 77% collapse. Shale oversupply and OPEC's refusal to cut production broke the commodity supercycle that had dominated markets since 2003.
The Swiss National Bank abandoned its 1.20 EUR/CHF floor on January 15, 2015. The franc immediately surged 30%, blowing up retail FX brokers and exposing the fragility of exchange rate commitments.
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