CONVEX
Past Release · Industrial Production

February 2024 Industrial Production Report

Thursday, February 1, 2024

Industrial Production printed at 100.28, a +1.07% move from the prior reading of 99.22.

Headline Reading
Industrial Production
100.28
Feb 1
Prior
99.22
Absolute
+1.06
Percent
+1.07%

What to Watch For

  • Headline IP index month-over-month
  • Manufacturing IP (largest component)
  • Capacity utilization rate (inflationary above 80%)
  • Mining sector output (energy proxy)
  • Year-over-year IP trend (recession indicator)

Expected Market Reaction

Weak IP: rates down, industrials sell off, defensive bid. Capacity utilization above 80%: inflationary, rates up. IP collapse alongside weak ISM: strong recession signal, aggressive rate-cut pricing.

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