Sahm Rule vs Unemployment Rate

Live side-by-side comparison with current values, changes, and key statistics.

Recession Indicatorsmonthly

No data available

Labor Marketmonthly

No data available

Why This Comparison Matters

The Sahm Rule measures the acceleration of unemployment, not just its level. An economy can have low unemployment but trigger the Sahm Rule if the rate rises quickly from its recent low. This comparison shows the difference between the absolute level of labor market health and the pace of deterioration — the latter being the true recession signal.

90-Day Statistics

Sahm Rule Recession Indicator

No data available

Unemployment Rate (U3)

No data available

Explore Each Metric

Sahm Rule Recession Indicator

Sahm Rule: 3-month average unemployment rise from 12-month low. Crossing 0.5% has signaled every recession since 1970.

Unemployment Rate (U3)

Headline unemployment rate — percentage of the labor force without jobs.

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Data sourced from FRED, CoinGecko, CBOE, and other providers. This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.